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A handful of Republican House incumbents represent districts that, on the surface, should be firmly in the Democratic column. But despite a series of factors that have created difficult bids for re-election—including redistricting decisions that unfavorably altered the partisanship of the constituency, demographic change that has translated into more Democratic votes, and well-funded challengers with national support—these incumbents have survived. Mike Coffman of Colorado is one of them.

When discussing these weathered politicians who are consistently prepared for tough elections, consultants across the political spectrum point to Reps. Barbara Comstock of Virginia’s 10th District, Will Hurd of Texas’ 23rd, Carlos…

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