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With six months to go before Election Day and their national generic ballot lead slipping to 5 points in the Real Clear Politics average, Democrats are still likely to have a good night in the House. It’s less clear whether Democrats will have a great night or an historic one. 

One thing is clear: Democrats are on the offensive in the House. After our latest round of ratings changes, we have 68 Republican seats rated as vulnerable compared to just 10 vulnerable Democratic seats. There are at least a couple dozen more GOP-held seats that could develop into competitive races…

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